{"id":5025,"date":"2025-11-29T23:16:30","date_gmt":"2025-11-29T22:16:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jurisprudentiemeteenglimlach.nl\/?p=5025"},"modified":"2025-11-29T23:16:30","modified_gmt":"2025-11-29T22:16:30","slug":"geen-structurele-krapte-nu-op-de-arbeidsmarkt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jurisprudentiemeteenglimlach.nl\/?p=5025","title":{"rendered":"Geen structurele krapte nu op de arbeidsmarkt?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

No structural shortage now in the labor market?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“De ziel van den mens groeit niet van loon, maar van den arbeid die het loon verdient” (Multatuli).
“The soul of man grows not from wages, but from the labor that earns the wages” (Multatuli).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Geen structurele krapte legt CPB directeur Pieter Hasekamp uit in zijn essay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.cpb.nl\/column\/de-arbeidsmarkt-werkt-ook-bij-flinke-krapte<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neen, natuurlijk niet. Zeker niet na het bericht van de CNV, dat de arbeidsmarkt zich kan opmaken voor een grote ontslagronde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.cnv.nl\/nieuws\/cnv-nederland-aan-vooravond-van-duizenden-ontslagen<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Er is maar \u00e9\u00e9n productiemiddel dat zich onttrekt aan de tucht van de markt: arbeid. De prijs gaat wel omhoog. Bijna nooit omlaag. Maar te hoge prijzen stimuleren de zoektocht naar goedkopere alternatieven: in technologie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Als een werknemer in deeltijd werkt zal de onderneming eerder de mogelijkheid onderzoeken deze beperkte arbeidsinzet door technologie te vervangen. En het lijkt erop dat het werken in deeltijd groeit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.cbs.nl\/nl-nl\/nieuws\/2025\/46\/weer-meer-mensen-met-grote-deeltijdbanen<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

En veel professionals sluiten nog even de ogen voor de nieuwe, dreigende realiteit. De ‘hockeystick’ achtige ontwikkeling van kunstmatige intelligentie zal die ogen gauw openen. Hoewel Goldman Sachs dit in aug 2025 heeft getemperd, schatte de bank op termijn het verlies van werkgelegenheid wereldwijd op 300 miljoen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.goldmansachs.com\/insights\/articles\/generative-ai-could-raise-global-gdp-by-7-percent?utm_source=chatgpt.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Er is niets zo tijdelijk als een structurele krapte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No structural shortage, explains CPB director Pieter Hasekamp in his essay.
No, of course not. Especially not after the CNV’s announcement that the labor market can prepare for a major round of layoffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is only one means of production that escapes the discipline of the market: labor. Prices do go up. Almost never down. But excessively high prices stimulate the search for cheaper alternatives: technology.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If an employee works part-time, the company is more likely to explore the possibility of replacing this limited labor with technology. And it seems that part-time work is growing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And many professionals are still turning a blind eye to the new, threatening reality. The ‘hockey stick’-like development of artificial intelligence will soon open those eyes. Although Goldman Sachs tempered this in August 2025, the bank estimated the global job losses at 300 million in the long term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There’s nothing as temporary as a structural shortage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ricky Turpijn<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

No structural shortage now in the labor market? “De ziel van den mens groeit niet van loon, maar van den … <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2256,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[162,550,2241,2242,2240,2243,2239],"class_list":["post-5025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-samenleving","tag-ai","tag-arbeidsmarkt","tag-cpb","tag-deeltijd","tag-essay-pieter-hasekamp","tag-goldmansachs","tag-krapte"],"yoast_head":"\nGeen structurele krapte nu op de arbeidsmarkt? - Jurisprudentie Met Een Glimlach<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/jurisprudentiemeteenglimlach.nl\/?p=5025\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"nl_NL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Geen structurele krapte nu op de arbeidsmarkt? 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